Chances Choices Choices 1 - BeardManWalking

Taking Chances

by John Haigh

Publisher : OUP Oxford
Release Date : 1999-03-04
ISBN : 0191500550
Pages : 400 pages
Rating Book: 4.9/5 (191 users)

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Download or read book Taking Chances written by John Haigh and published by OUP Oxford. This book was released on 1999-03-04 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.

Statistical Inference and Probability

by John MacInnes

Publisher : SAGE
Release Date : 2022-03-01
ISBN : 1529711029
Pages : 160 pages
Rating Book: 4.2/5 (529 users)

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Download or read book Statistical Inference and Probability written by John MacInnes and published by SAGE. This book was released on 2022-03-01 with total page 160 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An experienced author in the field of data analytics and statistics, John Macinnes has produced a straight-forward text that breaks down the complex topic of inferential statistics with accessible language and detailed examples. It covers a range of topics, including: · Probability and Sampling distributions · Inference and regression · Power, effect size and inverse probability Part of The SAGE Quantitative Research Kit, this book will give you the know-how and confidence needed to succeed on your quantitative research journey.

Agent Computing and Multi-Agent Systems

by Ramakoti Sadananada

Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2006-07-18
ISBN : 3540367071
Pages : 843 pages
Rating Book: 4.4/5 (54 users)

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Download or read book Agent Computing and Multi-Agent Systems written by Ramakoti Sadananada and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2006-07-18 with total page 843 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This book constitutes the refereed proceedings of the 9th Pacific Rim International Workshop on Multi-Agents, PRIMA 2006, held in Guilin, China, in August 2006. The book presents 39 revised full papers and 57 revised short papers together with 4 invited talks, addressing subjects from theoretical and methodological issues to applications. Topics include agent models, agent architectures, agent-oriented software engineering, semantic Web service, collaboration, coordination and negotiation, and more.

Markets, Games, and Strategic Behavior

by Charles A. Holt

Publisher : Princeton University Press
Release Date : 2019-03-12
ISBN : 0691188971
Pages : pages
Rating Book: 4.9/5 (691 users)

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Download or read book Markets, Games, and Strategic Behavior written by Charles A. Holt and published by Princeton University Press. This book was released on 2019-03-12 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: From a pioneer in experimental economics, an expanded and updated edition of a textbook that brings economic experiments into the classroom Economics is rapidly becoming a more experimental science, and the best way to convey insights from this research is to engage students in classroom simulations that motivate subsequent discussions and reading. In this expanded and updated second edition of Markets, Games, and Strategic Behavior, Charles Holt, one of the leaders in experimental economics, provides an unparalleled introduction to the study of economic behavior, organized around risky decisions, games of strategy, and economic markets that can be simulated in class. Each chapter is based on a key experiment, presented with accessible examples and just enough theory. Featuring innovative applications from the lab and the field, the book introduces new research on a wide range of topics. Core chapters provide an introduction to the experimental analysis of markets and strategic decisions made in the shadow of risk or conflict. Instructors can then pick and choose among topics focused on bargaining, game theory, social preferences, industrial organization, public choice and voting, asset market bubbles, and auctions. Based on decades of teaching experience, this is the perfect book for any undergraduate course in experimental economics or behavioral game theory. New material on topics such as matching, belief elicitation, repeated games, prospect theory, probabilistic choice, macro experiments, and statistical analysis Participatory experiments that connect behavioral theory and laboratory research Largely self-contained chapters that can each be covered in a single class Guidance for instructors on setting up classroom experiments, with either hand-run procedures or free online software End-of-chapter problems, including some conceptual-design questions, with hints or partial solutions provided

Theory of Games and Statistical Decisions

by David A. Blackwell

Publisher : Courier Corporation
Release Date : 2012-06-14
ISBN : 0486150895
Pages : 384 pages
Rating Book: 4.8/5 (486 users)

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Download or read book Theory of Games and Statistical Decisions written by David A. Blackwell and published by Courier Corporation. This book was released on 2012-06-14 with total page 384 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A problem-oriented text for evaluating statistical procedures through decision and game theory. First-year graduates in statistics, computer experts and others will find this highly respected work best introduction to growing field.

Experimental Economics

by Nicolas Jacquemet

Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2018-11-29
ISBN : 1107060273
Pages : 475 pages
Rating Book: 4.0/5 (17 users)

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Download or read book Experimental Economics written by Nicolas Jacquemet and published by Cambridge University Press. This book was released on 2018-11-29 with total page 475 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the past two decades, experimental economics has moved from a fringe activity to become a standard tool for empirical research. With experimental economics now regarded as part of the basic tool-kit for applied economics, this book demonstrates how controlled experiments can be a useful in providing evidence relevant to economic research. Professors Jacquemet and L'Haridon take the standard model in applied econometrics as a basis to the methodology of controlled experiments. Methodological discussions are illustrated with standard experimental results. This book provides future experimental practitioners with the means to construct experiments that fit their research question, and new comers with an understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of controlled experiments. Graduate students and academic researchers working in the field of experimental economics will be able to learn how to undertake, understand and criticise empirical research based on lab experiments, and refer to specific experiments, results or designs completed with case study applications.

Risk-Based Thinking

by Tony Muschara

Publisher : Routledge
Release Date : 2017-11-13
ISBN : 1351400177
Pages : 288 pages
Rating Book: 4.5/5 (351 users)

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Download or read book Risk-Based Thinking written by Tony Muschara and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2017-11-13 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Society at large tends to misunderstand what safety is all about. It is not just the absence of harm. When nothing bad happens over a period of time, how do you know you are safe? In reality, safety is what you and your people do moment by moment, day by day to protect assets from harm and to control the hazards inherent in your operations. This is the purpose of risk-based thinking, the key element of the six building blocks of Human and Organizational Performance (H&OP). Generally, H&OP provides a risk-based approach to managing human performance in operations. But, specifically, risk-based thinking enables foresight and flexibility—even when surprised—to do what is necessary to protect assets from harm but also achieve mission success despite ongoing stresses or shocks to the operation. Although you cannot prepare for every adverse scenario, you can be ready for almost anything. When risk-based thinking is integrated into the DNA of an organization’s way of doing business, people will be ready for most unexpected situations. Eventually, safety becomes a core value, not a priority to be negotiated with others depending on circumstances. This book provides a coherent perspective on what executives and line managers within operational environments need to focus on to efficiently and effectively control, learn, and adapt.

Risk: Philosophical Perspectives

by Tim Lewens

Publisher : Routledge
Release Date : 2007-05-17
ISBN : 1134100280
Pages : 228 pages
Rating Book: 4.3/5 (134 users)

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Download or read book Risk: Philosophical Perspectives written by Tim Lewens and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2007-05-17 with total page 228 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: How can we determine an acceptable level of risk? Should these decisions be made by experts, or by the people they affect? How should safety and security be balanced against other goods, such as liberty? This is the first collection to examine the philosophical dimensions of these pressing practical problems. Leading scholars exploring the full range of philosophical implications of risk, including: risk and ethics risk and rationality risk and scientific expertise risk and lay knowledge the objectivity of risk assessment risk and the precautionary principle risk and terror. With contributions from Carl F. Cranor, Sven Ove Hansson, Martin Kusch, Tim Lewens, D.H. Mellor, Adam Morton, Stephen Perry, Martin Peterson, Alan Ryan, Per Sandin, Cass R. Sunstein and Jonathan Wolff; this collection is essential reading, not only for philosophers and researchers in legal, economic and environmental studies, but for those seeking to gain a better understanding of the decisions we must make as concerned citizens.

Summaries of Doctoral Dissertations

by Northwestern University (Evanston, Ill.). Graduate School

Publisher :
Release Date : 1934
ISBN :
Pages : 326 pages
Rating Book: 4.9/5 (39 users)

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Download or read book Summaries of Doctoral Dissertations written by Northwestern University (Evanston, Ill.). Graduate School and published by . This book was released on 1934 with total page 326 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:

Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment

Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2008-09-02
ISBN : 0470035498
Pages : 2031 pages
Rating Book: 4.7/5 (47 users)

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Download or read book Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment written by and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2008-09-02 with total page 2031 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Leading the way in this field, the Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Analysis and Assessment is the first publication to offer a modern, comprehensive and in-depth resource to the huge variety of disciplines involved. A truly international work, its coverage ranges across risk issues pertinent to life scientists, engineers, policy makers, healthcare professionals, the finance industry, the military and practising statisticians. Drawing on the expertise of world-renowned authors and editors in this field this title provides up-to-date material on drug safety, investment theory, public policy applications, transportation safety, public perception of risk, epidemiological risk, national defence and security, critical infrastructure, and program management. This major publication is easily accessible for all those involved in the field of risk assessment and analysis. For ease-of-use it is available in print and online.

The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology

by William C. Cockerham

Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2021-04-21
ISBN : 1119633788
Pages : 608 pages
Rating Book: 4.1/5 (119 users)

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Download or read book The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology written by William C. Cockerham and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2021-04-21 with total page 608 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: A comprehensive collection of original essays by leading medical sociologists from around the world, fully updated to reflect contemporary research and global health issues The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology is an authoritative overview of the most recent research, major theoretical approaches, and central issues and debates within the field. Bringing together contributions from an international team of leading scholars, this wide-ranging volume summarizes significant new developments and discusses a broad range of globally-relevant topics. The Companion's twenty-eight chapters contain timely, theoretically-informed coverage of the coronavirus pandemic and emerging diseases, bioethics, healthcare delivery systems, health disparities associated with migration, social class, gender, and race. It also explores mental health, the family, religion, and many other real-world health concerns. The most up-to-date and comprehensive single-volume reference on the key concepts and contemporary issues in medical sociology, this book: Presents thematically-organized essays by authors who are recognized experts in their fields Features new chapters reflecting state-of-the-art research and contemporary issues relevant to global health Covers vital topics such as current bioethical debates and the global effort to cope with the coronavirus pandemic Discusses the important relationship between culture and health in a global context Provide fresh perspectives on the sociology of the body, biomedicalization, health lifestyle theory, doctor-patient relations, and social capital and health The Wiley Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology is essential reading for advanced undergraduate and graduate students in medical sociology, health studies, and health care, as well as for academics, researchers, and practitioners wanting to keep pace with new developments in the field.

Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

by J. Geweke

Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2012-12-06
ISBN : 9401128383
Pages : 262 pages
Rating Book: 4.0/5 (41 users)

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Download or read book Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty written by J. Geweke and published by Springer Science & Business Media. This book was released on 2012-12-06 with total page 262 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: As desired, the infonnation demand correspondence is single valued at equilibrium prices. Hence no planner is needed to assign infonnation allocations to individuals. Proposition 4. For any given infonnation price system p E . P (F *), almost every a E A demands a unique combined infonnation structure (although traders may be indifferent among partial infonnation sales from different information allocations, etc. ). In particular, the aggregate excess demand correspondence for net combined infonnation trades is a continuous function. Proof Uniqueness fails only if an agent can obtain the same expected utility from two or more net combined infonnation allocations. If this happens, appropriate slight perturbations of personal probability vectors destroy the equality unless the utility functions and wealth allocations were independent across states. Yet, when utilities and wealths don't depend on states in S, no infonnation to distinguish the states is desired, so that the demand for such infonnation structures must equal zero. To show the second claim, recall that if the correspondence is single valued for almost every agent, then its integral is also single valued. Finally, note that an upper hemicontinuous (by Proposition 2) correspondence which is single valued everywhere is, in fact, a continuous function. [] REFERENCES Allen, Beth (1986a). "The Demand for (Differentiated) Infonnation"; Review of Economic Studies. 53. (311-323). Allen, Beth (1986b). "General Equilibrium with Infonnation Sales"; Theory and Decision. 21. (1-33). Allen, Beth (1990). "Infonnation as an Economic Commodity"; American Economic Review. 80. (268-273).

Consumer Credit and the American Economy

by Thomas A. Durkin

Publisher : Financial Management Associati
Release Date : 2014
ISBN : 0195169921
Pages : 737 pages
Rating Book: 4.9/5 (195 users)

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Download or read book Consumer Credit and the American Economy written by Thomas A. Durkin and published by Financial Management Associati. This book was released on 2014 with total page 737 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This article provides an introduction to a law review symposium by the Journal of Law, Economics, and Policy on our book (co-authored with Michael E. Staten), Consumer Credit and the American Economy (Oxford 2014). The conference, held November 2014, collects several articles responding to and building on the research agenda laid out by our book. For those who have not read the book, this article is intended to summarize several of the main themes of the book, including discussion of economic models of consumer credit usage, trends in consumer credit usage over time, the use of high-cost credit, and behavioral economics.

Social Psychology and Human Nature

by Roy F. Baumeister

Publisher : Cengage Learning
Release Date : 2020-01-01
ISBN : 0357122895
Pages : 832 pages
Rating Book: 4.5/5 (357 users)

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Download or read book Social Psychology and Human Nature written by Roy F. Baumeister and published by Cengage Learning. This book was released on 2020-01-01 with total page 832 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: You are a member of a social world on a planet that is home to about 8 billion people. This social world is filled with paradox, mystery, suspense and outright absurdity. Explore how social psychology can help you make sense of your own social world with this engaging and accessible book. Roy F. Baumeister and Brad J. Bushman's SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY AND HUMAN NATURE, 5th Edition, can help you understand one of the most interesting topics of all -- the sometimes bizarre and baffling but always fascinating diversity of human behavior, and how and why people act the way they do. Thoroughly updated with the latest research, the new edition includes expanded coverage of social media use and loneliness, findings on mimicry, high divorce rates among attractive people, nonbinary gender theory, and prejudice and what may reduce it. After reading this book, you will have a much better understanding of people. Important Notice: Media content referenced within the product description or the product text may not be available in the ebook version.

Designing Financial Systems in Transition Economies

by Anna Meyendorff

Publisher : MIT Press
Release Date : 2002
ISBN : 9780262133913
Pages : 340 pages
Rating Book: 4.3/5 (133 users)

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Download or read book Designing Financial Systems in Transition Economies written by Anna Meyendorff and published by MIT Press. This book was released on 2002 with total page 340 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This collection examines the design of financial systems for central and eastern European countries engaged in the transition to market-based economies. It highlights the need for better approaches to measuring performance and providing incentives in banking and for financial mechanisms to encourage private-sector growth. Written by leading European and North American scholars, the essays apply modern finance theory and empirical data to the development of new financial sectors.

Behavioral Economics

by Edward Cartwright

Publisher : Routledge
Release Date : 2018-01-23
ISBN : 1351600028
Pages : 604 pages
Rating Book: 4.5/5 (351 users)

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Download or read book Behavioral Economics written by Edward Cartwright and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2018-01-23 with total page 604 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Over the last few decades behavioral economics has revolutionized the discipline. It has done so by putting the human back into economics, by recognizing that people sometimes make mistakes, care about others and are generally not as cold and calculating as economists have traditionally assumed. The results have been exciting and fascinating, and have fundamentally changed the way we look at economic behavior. This textbook introduces all the key results and insights of behavioral economics to a student audience. Ideas such as mental accounting, prospect theory, present bias, inequality aversion and learning are explained in detail. These ideas are also applied in diverse settings such as auctions, stock market crashes, charitable donations and health care, to show why behavioral economics is crucial to understanding the world around us. Consideration is also given to what makes people happy, and how we can potentially nudge people to be happier. This new edition contains expanded and updated coverage of contract theory, bargaining in the family, time and risk, and stochastic reference points, among other topics, to ensure that readers are kept up to speed with this fast-paced field. The companion website is also updated with a range of new questions and worked examples. This book remains the ideal introduction to behavioral economics for advanced undergraduate and graduate students.

The New Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology

by William C. Cockerham

Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2010-01-29
ISBN : 1444314793
Pages : 616 pages
Rating Book: 4.4/5 (444 users)

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Download or read book The New Blackwell Companion to Medical Sociology written by William C. Cockerham and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2010-01-29 with total page 616 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An authoritative, topical, and comprehensive reference to the keyconcepts and most important traditional and contemporary issues inmedical sociology. Contains 35 chapters by recognized experts in the field, bothestablished and rising young scholars Covers standard topics in the field as well as new and engagingissues such as bioterrorism, bioethics, and infectious disease Chapters are thematically arranged to cover the major issues ofthe sub-discipline Global range of contributors and an internationalperspective